Probabilistic Modeling of Oil Spills at the Exclusive Economic Zone of Cuba Using Petromar-3D Model

This article shows the probabilistic modeling of hydrocarbon spills on surface sea, using climatology data oil spill trajectories yielded by applying lagrangian model PETROMAR-3D. To achieve this goal, several computing and statistical tools were used to develop solution based in methodology Guo. Solution was implemented a databases approach SQL language. A case study is presented which hypothetical location inside Exclusive Economic Zone Cuba. Important outputs products obtained, are very useful for decision-makers operators charge face accidents prepare contingency plans minimize its effects. In order relationship between initial trajectory arrival hydrocarbons coast, new introduced as an incoming perspective modeling. It consists storage direction movement slick at first 24 hours. The great importance hazard studies Cuban coastal areas.